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Trading Strategies
This section covers the following
trading strategies:
PAIRS TRADING
DIRECT MARKET ACCESS SCALPING
NEWS TRADING
BROKER UPGRADES/DOWNGRADE
Trading, whether CFDs, shares, futures
or spreadbetting, should always involve a trading strategy to
determine how you are going to trade for the longer term. Of
course the product you are dealing in may to some extent determine
the type of strategy you adopt, for example share dealing, with the
addition of stamp duty and generally higher costs, may preclude
short term trading. That said, the ultimate goal is to predict
with measured degrees of risk and accuracy, the probability of
either a price going higher or lower. It seems an obvious
statement, but so many times in our experience, we have heard
clients blame an instrument for losing money, for example "these
CFDs are rubbish", or "share trading is for losers". Harsh,
but true. The fact is that the products are almost irrelevant
because they are essentially the same thing. A Spreadbet is in
essence a contract to pay the difference in the buying or selling
price ie. a derivative. Shares traded on T+25 or long term
settlement are still banking on a profitable difference between the
buying and selling price....etc etc.
The point is that often, in losing
periods, a trader will blame virtually every other factor for
losing, such as commission rates, a bad spread, a poor platform, a
missed stop. etc etc. Isn't it strange that when the
same trader is going through a successful patch, these factors
suddenly become irrelevant.
This highlights that the most important
part of becoming a successful trader....
Develop a strategy to suit your trading environment, DONT let your
trading environment determine your strategy!
Trading is a business like any other and
should be run as such. Take a restaurant as an example.
If you were running a road side cafe (safe to say the lower end of
the market), you would be more susceptible to cost increases, cost
increases which if too large, may significantly harm your profits.
You therefore become at the mercy of your supplier, and less reliant
on the quality of your product. If you were running a Ramsey
restaurant, whilst a cost increase may reduce profits or you may be
forced to increase price (strive for slightly better performance),
at the end of the day, you will still be a success. Why? Because you
have faith that the product you are providing (the strategy)
is successful.
The moral of the story
is, get the trading right, and the rest will follow!
At Equitrade, we use our own trading
strategies to advise our clients, but at the same time we recognise
that there are many, many more strategies one could follow.
Below we outline some of the more common of those.
Pairs
Trading
Pairs trading generally involves taking
opposing positions in similar or almost identical assets in the hope
that the effect results in one outperforming the other to yield a
net profit.
For example, in the case of Share CFDs,
one might choose to short Glaxo and at the same time buy
AstraZeneca. In our view, it is often a more appropriate
strategy for fundamental, value based strategies rather than short
term technical analysis approaches. Often, over the short
term, one can expect to see shares within the same sector to move
broadly in line with one another. If there is a divergence
this would normally be due to fundamental factors such as earnings,
profit expectations, industry news etc.
For example, if during the reporting
season, in the week AstraZeneca releases earnings figures the same
week as GlaxoSmithkline, Astra reports poorly and Glaxo favourably.
One might short AZN and go long of GSK in the hope that over the
short term, investors may switch from one to the other. Often
this can be a successful strategy over the very short term on the
basis of a 'knee jerk' reaction, but ultimately, any switching when
it does occur, such as from fund managers, will occur at a much
later time. Therefore, the strategy here may have been more
suitable for a longer term asset such as an ordinary share, rather
than a CFD.
Pairs trading, in our view represents
less of a successful strategy than it did say ten years ago.
Within the framework of a more globalised economy, more
diversification, and the neccessity for firms to become a one stop
shop for all, finding a 'true pair' is becoming increasingly
difficult i.e simply being categorised in the same sector does not
neccesarily mean you are competing in the same market.
Pairs trading may, in our view be a more
appropriate to futures trading at Index or sector level. Here,
one is more immediatley aware of shifts in short term asset
allocation and funds than anywhere else. Poor economic data
from the Bundesbank in Germany many cause the Bunds to fall, whereas
positive data from the US may cause the T-Bonds to rally. The
response is normally immediate and is a characteristic of those
particular markets, where the type of investor and trader often has
a shorter term bias and can react more quickly. Here,
technical analysis is more relevant and is more likely to spot a
potential divergence.
Direct
Market Access
Direct Market Access, or as it is often
called 'Level Two dealing' is not only a method of executing orders
directly in the market, but a strategy in its own right. For a
detailed, beginners guide to DMA please click here. This
section will cover more of the most common methods of trading using
DMA and assumes the reader has some experience with the product.
Order book analysis
Delayed RSP quotes
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